Can I see the northern lights tonight in North Dakota?
Possible, low in the north from Grand Forks.
NOAA's Kp forecast peaks at 3 during North Dakota's dark hours tonight. Across the 3 North Dakota cities we cover, the aurora usually reaches the northern horizon at Kp 3 to 4.
Green: NOAA OVATION aurora model, forecast for 03:41 UTC 5 Nov (a 30 to 90 minute nowcast; the oval moves and brightens through the night). Dots: our verdict for tonight from the Kp forecast.
City by city
| City | Mag. lat. | Kp needed horizon / overhead | Peak Kp tonight | Tonight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Forks | 56.8° | 3 / 5 | 3 | Possible |
| Fargo | 55.8° | 4 / 6 | 3 | Long shot |
| Bismarck | 55.4° | 4 / 6 | 3 | Long shot |
Kp needed: the Kp at which the aurora usually reaches the northern horizon, and overhead. Peak Kp: NOAA's highest forecast 3-hour Kp in each city's dark hours tonight.
Kp forecast
NOAA planetary K-index, observed and forecast, in Grand Forks local time, with Grand Forks's thresholds.
Questions
Can I see the northern lights tonight in North Dakota?
Possible at best, from Grand Forks. NOAA's Kp forecast peaks at 3 during North Dakota's dark hours tonight. Across the 3 North Dakota cities we cover, the aurora usually reaches the northern horizon at Kp 3 to 4. You also need a clear, dark view to the north.
What Kp do you need to see the northern lights in North Dakota?
About Kp 3 in the north of North Dakota and Kp 4 in the south to see it low on the northern horizon; stronger storms bring it overhead.
Where is the best place to see it?
Somewhere dark with a clear view north, away from town lights. In North Dakota, the further north you go, the lower the Kp you need.
Northern lights tonight in the US → · Aurora forecast this week
Data: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (planetary K-index forecast, 3-day forecast, 27-day outlook, OVATION aurora model). Magnetic latitudes: AACGM-v2. Darkness and Moon computed with Skyfield and JPL DE440. We do not forecast clouds: you need a clear view to the north. How the verdict is made.