Can I see the northern lights tonight in Idaho Falls?
Unlikely tonight.
NOAA's forecast peaks at Kp 3 during Idaho Falls's dark hours tonight (6:20 pm to 6:10 am), strongest from about 11:00 pm. From Idaho Falls the aurora usually needs about Kp 6 to show low on the northern horizon and Kp 8 to be overhead. The Moon is 16% lit and up for 23% of the dark hours.
The next three nights
Peak Kp 3 in the dark, 6:20 pm–6:10 am. Moon 16% lit.
Peak Kp 2.33 in the dark, 6:20 pm–6:10 am. Moon 9% lit.
Peak Kp 5 (G1) in the dark, 6:20 pm–6:10 am. Moon 4% lit.
Kp forecast for Idaho Falls
NOAA planetary K-index: the past day observed, the next three days forecast, in Idaho Falls local time. Lines: the Kp at which the aurora usually reaches Idaho Falls's northern horizon, and overhead. The peak value is NOAA's estimated Kp for the 3-hour block starting 11:00 pm.
It is dark in Idaho Falls now. Little aurora activity near you right now.
Seeing the aurora from Idaho Falls
Idaho Falls is at 43.5°N, which is magnetic latitude 50.7°: the aurora follows the magnetic pole, not the geographic one, which is why it reaches further south over North America than over Europe. In a quiet night the auroral oval stays far to the north. When a solar storm arrives the oval widens and slides south; at about Kp 6 it usually reaches low over Idaho Falls's northern horizon, and at Kp 8 it can be overhead.
Kp forecasts more than a day ahead are uncertain: the timing and strength of a solar storm are often only clear an hour or so before it hits, when it passes the spacecraft upstream of Earth. So a "possible" night can fizzle, and a quiet forecast can surprise. This page updates every 30 minutes. The full week's aurora forecast · What the Kp index means.
Questions
Can I see the northern lights tonight in Idaho Falls?
Unlikely. NOAA's forecast peaks at Kp 3 during Idaho Falls's dark hours tonight (6:20 pm to 6:10 am), strongest from about 11:00 pm. From Idaho Falls the aurora usually needs about Kp 6 to show low on the northern horizon and Kp 8 to be overhead. The Moon is 16% lit and up for 23% of the dark hours. You also need clear skies to the north, which we do not forecast.
What Kp do you need to see the northern lights in Idaho Falls?
About Kp 6 to see the aurora low on the northern horizon, and Kp 8 for it to be overhead. Idaho Falls is at magnetic latitude 50.7°; the southern edge of the auroral oval sits near 66.5° at Kp 0 and moves about 2° south per Kp step.
What time is best to see the aurora?
Usually within a couple of hours of midnight local time, when your part of the Earth faces the night side of the auroral oval. During a storm it can show any time it is dark, so watch the live Kp and go out when it jumps.
Where should I look?
North. From Idaho Falls the aurora usually appears as a green or grey glow low over the northern horizon, rising higher only in strong storms. Get away from street lights and let your eyes adjust for 15 minutes. A phone camera on night mode often shows colour the eye cannot.
Northern lights nearby
All of Idaho →Also over Idaho Falls
Data: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (planetary K-index forecast, 3-day forecast, 27-day outlook, OVATION aurora model). Magnetic latitudes: AACGM-v2. Darkness and Moon computed with Skyfield and JPL DE440. We do not forecast clouds: you need a clear view to the north. How the verdict is made.